Village Political Economy, Land Tenure Insecurity and the Rural to Urban Migration Decision: Evidence from China
Abstract
This paper finds that increases in the probability of facing a village-wide land reallocation is associated with a decline in the probability that a rural resident will migrate to urban China. A model is first developed to examine the village leader바카라 사이트™s reallocation decision, and then to incorporate the village leader바카라 사이트™s decision into an individual바카라 사이트™s migration decision. Crucial for our identification, the heterogeneity of patrilineal clans within a village is associated with the cost of reallocating land. Next, we show that the probability of a village-wide reallocation is a function of exogenously determined election-timing interacted with the share of households in a village belonging to the largest patrilineal clan in the first year of a panel survey. This interaction is then used to identify the effect of land tenure insecurity on migration decisions.
Citation
Giles, J.; Ren Mu. Village Political Economy, Land Tenure Insecurity and the Rural to Urban Migration Decision: Evidence from China. The World Bank, Washington DC, USA (2011) 46 pp.