Future climate scenarios
GAD has provided recommendations to help public sector organisations in Scotland use more consistent climate scenarios when planning climate adaptation.
Credit: Piotr Musiol, Unsplash
We have supplied advice and recommendations to the Scottish 바카라 사이트, as it looks to develop a climate scenario decision tool for the public sector.
The tool will provide guidance and support around the implementation of climate scenario analysis. This will enable consistent analysis of future climate-related risks across the public sector in Scotland.
Research and engagement
Our report, forms the basis for the guidance. It was commissioned on behalf of the Scottish 바카라 사이트 by ClimateXChange, Scotland바카라 사이트™s centre of expertise on climate change.
After extensive research and stakeholder engagement, GAD바카라 사이트™s team of climate risk experts set out recommendations on the:
- climate change emissions pathways or temperature scenarios
- time frames
- climate hazards
GAD undertook a review of existing policy, guidance, and stakeholder practice on the use of future climate scenarios and hazard data.
As a result, we spoke to a broad range of stakeholders across Scotland including:
- Scottish Environmental and Protection Agency (SEPA)
- Scottish Water
- Scottish 바카라 사이트
- Transport Scotland
- NatureScot
Credit: v2osk, Unsplash
Consistent approach
We developed options for setting national-level guidance to support the consideration of future climate change and help drive a consistent approach to adaptation planning across the public sector in Scotland.
Among GAD바카라 사이트™s main recommendations are that:
- the scenario analysis should cover both chronic and acute physical climate hazards
- organisations should consider at least 2 degrees Celsius and 4 degrees Celsius temperature scenarios
- scenario analysis should be updated every 3 to 5 years
Knowledge exchange
ClimateXChange project manager, Kay White, said: 바카라 사이트śClimateXChange facilitates knowledge exchange between researchers and the Scottish 바카라 사이트, and this report has addressed a knowledge gap in the importance of scenario analysis in assessing and understanding uncertainty in future climate risk.
바카라 사이트śWe hope that the findings from this report further guide the development of a practical scenario analysis tool for the Scottish public sector and enable a more robust understanding of climate change for future decision making.바카라 사이트ť